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The Psychology of Human Misjudgement - Charlie Munger Full Speech

BuffettMungerWisdom
Talks
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6 HN users recommended this talk6 months2014–2023 score 8
Years with an HN recommendation, 2007–2026

HN regards it as a classic to revisit every few years for improving decisions and self-awareness.

Audio of Charlie Munger's 1995 Harvard speech on the psychology of human misjudgment, laying out a framework of cognitive biases and mental models for decision making. It covers factors like incentives, social proof and denial.

“Develop an intuitive understanding of the key mental models mentioned by Charlie Munger in his classic speech” (HN, 2020)

4 strong recommendations · 2 recommendations · 1 citations · Talks

7 Hacker News comments

From the HN archive; up to 20 kept per video, favoring different commenters. Recommendations first.

@rasz_pl Jun 2016 Strongly recommends
on HN thread Johann Wolfgang von Goethe, Amateur Auction Theorist
Unless you enjoy misery, trolling, and derive satisfaction from forcing other people to make stupid decisions. Personally I'm more than happy losing a bid if I make someone else suffer winner's curse just because they are blinded by escalation of commitment and a long list of other biases. One of my favourite speeches touching on the subject: The Psychology of Human Misjudgement - Charlie Munger Full Speech bit about auctions is at 59:30 [this video] text [link]
Munger speech on biases, including auctions at 59:30
@cs702 Aug 2020 Strongly recommends
on HN thread Ask HN: What are some available force multipliers that most people don't know?
Develop an intuitive understanding of the key mental models mentioned by Charlie Munger in his classic speech given to a Harvard class 25 years ago: "The Psychology of Human Misjudgment," by Charlie Munger [this video] [link] If I may paraphrase Mr. Munger, you never want to be a one-legged man in the ass-kicking contest of life.
Munger's classic speech on key mental models
@cainxinth Nov 2023 Strongly recommends
on HN thread Charlie Munger has died
As billionaires go, he seemed unusually down to earth. I listen to his lecture on "The Psychology of Human Misjudgement" every few years: [this video]
Lecture worth revisiting every few years
@timrosenblatt Sep 2014 Recommends
on HN thread Ask HN: Practical formula for being relentlessly resourceful?
Read more
Your first question is "can you make a conscious effort to get better at [being resourceful]?" The answer is almost certainly yes. Techniques for being resourceful are very specific to the individual, so what works for one person may not for another. That being said... The first thing I would do is meditate. It is becoming trendy, but I think for a good reason. By complete coincidence, [link] is a news article that showed up this morning. I think if a man like Steve Jobs arranges for a book on meditation (and self-actualization) to be given to the attendees of his own funeral, that is a powerful sign. Talk to other people about challenges you face. This sounds simple, but it is effective. Another way of saying "I need a creative solution" is "I need a solution that I wouldn't have come up with". To me, that sounds like "I need a solution someone else came up with". Every successful business leader has advisors. So should you. There is a talk by Charlie Munger (of Berkshire Hathaway fame) about decision making. It tends to focus on mistakes, but if you know what mistakes to avoid, it can help you find the right answer. [this video] Tell me what you think about these.
Munger on common mistakes in decision making

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